Global Tensions Signal ‘New Dangerous Arms Race’
Efforts toward disarmament are decelerating while countries possessing nuclear capabilities are launching “intensive” programs to modernize their arsenals, the think tank stated in a document released on Monday.
The general trend reveals a worrying shift away from reduction efforts and toward rearmament.
SIPRI pointed out that Russia and the United States—together holding nearly 90 percent of the world's nuclear weapons—face the impending expiration of the New START treaty in February 2026.
This bilateral agreement restricts the number of actively deployed long-range nuclear warheads, serving as the last remaining control mechanism between the two dominant powers.
Moscow withdrew its involvement in the pact in 2023, citing the unworkability of the inspection protocols amid the West’s deep entanglement in the Ukraine war.
Still, Russia emphasized it was willing to resume discussions, provided the nuclear capabilities of NATO members aligned with Washington were taken into account.
On the other hand, the United States insists that any upcoming accord must also involve Beijing.
SIPRI highlighted that China holds the most rapidly expanding nuclear stockpile globally and may potentially match “either Russia or the USA” in terms of its intercontinental ballistic missile inventory by the decade’s end.
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